MIZTigers–
7:45 PM ETProps coming soon · SEC Network
ARKRazorbacks–
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: MIZ 31.8 – ARK 21.0
MIZ defensefaces ARK
vs QB
#100
#100 231.2 yds/gm
vs RB
#16
#16 88.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#100
#100 231.2 yds/gm
vs TE
#100
#100 231.2 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
ARK defensefaces MIZ
vs QB
#49
#49 194.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#78
#78 146.0 yds/gm
vs WR
#49
#49 194.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#49
#49 194.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
Missouri Tigers
RBAhmad HardyLegOUT
WRJabari BradyUndisclosedOUT
TEGavin HoffmanUndisclosedOUT
OGCayden GreenUndisclosedOUT
TEBrett NorfleetUndisclosedQUES
DLDarris SmithUndisclosedQUES
Arkansas Razorbacks
TEH. HendrixUndisclosedOUT
TEMaddox LassiterUpper BodyOUT
WRChris MarshallLegQUES
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
KJ Jackson
ARK · 3 props
Pass Yds
Line 208.5 · Avg 198.8 · L5 2/5
O -121 U +102
Rush Yds
Line 13.5 · Avg 13.7 · L5 2/5
O -125 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +253 U -250
Austin Simmons
MIZ · 2 props
Pass Yds
Line 245.5 · Avg 239.0 · L5 3/5
O -101 U -131
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +233 U -233
Jamal Roberts
MIZ · 4 props
Rush Yds
Line 105.5 · Avg 138.0 · L5 4/5
O -115 U -115
Rec Yds
Line 14.5 · Avg 16.8 · L5 2/5
O -128 U -128
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 2.2 · L5 2/5
O +100 U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.3 · L5 4/5
O -263 U +270
Braylen Russell
ARK · 2 props
Rush Yds
Line 25.5 · Avg 25.7 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +268 U -263
Cam Settles
ARK · 2 props
Rush Yds
Line 27.5 · Avg 26.2 · L5 2/5
O -121 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +316 U -312
Sutton Smith
ARK · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +352 U -345
Xai'Shaun Edwards
MIZ · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +576 U -556
Chris Marshall
ARK · 3 props
QUESRec Yds
Line 73 · Avg 100.8 · L5 3/5
O - U -
Receptions
Line 5.5 · Avg 7.0 · L5 4/5
O -105 U -125
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 2/5
O +177 U -175
Cayden Lee
MIZ · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 81.5 · Avg 102.7 · L5 4/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 6.5 · Avg 7.0 · L5 3/5
O +105 U -135
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 3/5
O +132 U -130
Donovan Olugbode
MIZ · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 67.5 · Avg 81.4 · L5 3/5
O -120 U -115
Receptions
Line 4.5 · Avg 5.2 · L5 3/5
O -105 U -125
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.2 · L5 5/5
O +164 U -161
Jamari Hawkins
ARK · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +758 U -714
Caleb Goodie Sr.
MIZ · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 1/2
O +881 U -833
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.