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CAL
CALGolden Bears–
12:00 PM ETProps coming soon · ACC Network
NCSUWolfpack–
NCSU

Moneyline Projection

Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
CAL
42%
+138
NCSU
58%
-138
Model expected score: CAL 27.4 – NCSU 31.4
Defensive Matchup Ratings
CAL defensefaces NCSU
vs QB
#27
#27 173.4 yds/gm
vs RB
#122
#122 187.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#27
#27 173.4 yds/gm
vs TE
#27
#27 173.4 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
NCSU defensefaces CAL
vs QB
#79
#79 215.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#73
#73 143.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#79
#79 215.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#79
#79 215.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
California Golden Bears
RBCarter VargasLegOUT
WRCole BosciaUndisclosedOUT
TER. WalkerUndisclosedOUT
RBAshten EmoryUndisclosedQUES
RBAdam MohammedUndisclosedQUES
RBCarson Perry-SmithUndisclosedQUES
WRCooper PerryUndisclosedQUES
WRIan StrongUndisclosedQUES
WRKyion GrayesUndisclosedQUES
NC State Wolfpack
No injuries reported

Player Board

Tap a player to expand
CJ Bailey
QB
CJ Bailey
NCSU · 2 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 252.5 · Avg 251.9 · L5 4/5
O -121 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +124 U -122
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
QB
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
CAL · 2 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 269.5 · Avg 215.0 · L5 1/5
O +100 U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +614 U -588
Will Wilson
QB
Will Wilson
NCSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.1 · L5 3/5
O +100 U -106
Davion Gause
RB
Davion Gause
NCSU · 3 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 61.5 · Avg 41.3 · L5 1/5
O -115 U -115
Rec Yds
Line 28.5 · Avg 33.2 · L5 4/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 0/5
O -192 U +194
Ashten Emory
RB
Ashten Emory
CAL · 2 props
QUES
+
Rec Yds
Line 9.5 · Avg 13.6 · L5 4/5
O -128 U -128
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 3/5
O +100 U -122
Jayden Scott
RB
Jayden Scott
NCSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 2/5
O -103 U -161
Deandre Desinor
RB
Deandre Desinor
NCSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/4
O +100 U -
Adam Mohammed
RB
Adam Mohammed
CAL · 1 props
QUES
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 1/4
O +100 U -
Anthony League
RB
Anthony League
CAL · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O - U -
Dylan McCoy
RB
Dylan McCoy
NCSU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 0/2
O - U -
Carson Perry-Smith
RB
Carson Perry-Smith
CAL · 1 props
QUES
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 2/3
O +100 U -
Chase Hendricks
WR
Chase Hendricks
CAL · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 65.5 · Avg 59.3 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 5.5 · Avg 6.7 · L5 4/5
O -160 U +120
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 0/5
O +100 U -204
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.