MIAHurricanes–
7:30 PM ETProps coming soon · ABC
UNCTar Heels–
Moneyline Projection
Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
Model expected score: MIA 34.3 – UNC 19.1
MIA defensefaces UNC
vs QB
#64
#64 207.0 yds/gm
vs RB
#1
#1 42.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#64
#64 207.0 yds/gm
vs TE
#64
#64 207.0 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
UNC defensefaces MIA
vs QB
#58
#58 200.5 yds/gm
vs RB
#88
#88 152.5 yds/gm
vs WR
#58
#58 200.5 yds/gm
vs TE
#58
#58 200.5 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
Miami Hurricanes
RBCharMar BrownLower BodyOUT
WRJoshua MooreUpper BodyOUT
TELuka GilbertUndisclosedOUT
TEOwen RuskavichUndisclosedQUES
North Carolina Tar Heels
TEJ. WarrenUndisclosedOUT
TEJ. WashingtonUndisclosedOUT
WRC. WarrenUndisclosedQUES
WRKeeyun ChapmanUndisclosedQUES
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
Darian Mensah
MIA · 3 props
Pass Yds
Line 261.5 · Avg 287.6 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Rush Yds
Line 6.5 · Avg 15.8 · L5 3/5
O -129 U -114
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +285 U -278
Billy Edwards Jr.
UNC · 2 props
Pass Yds
Line 219.5 · Avg 213.8 · L5 3/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +416 U -400
Mark Fletcher Jr.
MIA · 2 props
Rush Yds
Line 68.5 · Avg 76.8 · L5 3/4
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.2 · L5 3/4
O -133 U +135
Javian Mallory
MIA · 2 props
Rush Yds
Line 47.5 · Avg 57.8 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 2/5
O +111 U -110
Benjamin Hall
UNC · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +100 U -
Jordan Lyle
MIA · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/1
O +100 U -667
Jaylen McGill
UNC · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +164 U -161
Girard Pringle Jr.
MIA · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +100 U -455
Demon June
UNC · 1 props
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 3/5
O +100 U -227
Cooper Barkate
MIA · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 45.5 · Avg 48.2 · L5 3/5
O -130 U -120
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.8 · L5 4/5
O -105 U -130
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 4/5
O +191 U -189
Jordan Shipp
UNC · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 76.5 · Avg 73.2 · L5 2/5
O -115 U -115
Receptions
Line 6.5 · Avg 5.2 · L5 1/5
O +115 U -155
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +190 U -189
Malachi Toney
MIA · 3 props
Rec Yds
Line 100.5 · Avg 120.8 · L5 3/5
O -125 U -125
Receptions
Line 8.5 · Avg 7.8 · L5 2/5
O -140 U +105
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.2 · L5 4/5
O -182 U +184
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.