Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
UVA
43%
+133
WAKE
57%
-133
Model expected score: UVA 27.1 – WAKE 30.5
Defensive Matchup Ratings
UVA defensefaces WAKE
vs QB
#7
#7 140.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#83
#83 149.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#7
#7 140.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#7
#7 140.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
WAKE defensefaces UVA
vs QB
#107
#107 235.4 yds/gm
vs RB
#36
#36 111.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#107
#107 235.4 yds/gm
vs TE
#107
#107 235.4 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
Virginia Cavaliers
RBJ. StevensUndisclosedOUT
WRDillon Newton-ShortHamstringOUT
WRRico Flores Jr.KneeOUT
WRT. WardUndisclosedOUT
SEthan MinterUndisclosedOUT
DLJason HammondUndisclosedOUT
KTim HamannUndisclosedOUT
RBPeyton LewisUndisclosedQUES
WRKameron CourtneyUndisclosedQUES
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
WRElijah OtienoUndisclosedQUES
WRNy CarrUndisclosedQUES
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Beau Pribula
UVA · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 176 · Avg 179.0 · L5 2/5
O -U -
Rush Yds
Line 26.5 · Avg 16.2 · L5 1/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +244U -238
QB
Gio Lopez
WAKE · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 253.5 · Avg 278.1 · L5 4/5
O -115U -115
Rush Yds
Line 23.5 · Avg 36.1 · L5 2/5
O -120U -110
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.9 · L5 2/5
O +140U -139
RB
Jekail Middlebrook
UVA · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 64.5 · Avg 56.2 · L5 3/5
O -120U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 2/5
O +100U -222
RB
Ty Clark III
WAKE · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 53.5 · Avg 46.9 · L5 1/5
O -125U -125
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 2/5
O -106U +108
RB
Deuce Lawrence
WAKE · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 31.5 · Avg 43.9 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +160U -159
RB
Xavier Brown
UVA · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 1/5
O +100U -588
RB
Noah Vaughn
UVA · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100U -
RB
Xay Davis
UVA · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +100U -25000
RB
Jamar Searcy
WAKE · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +392U -385
WR
Antonio Meeks
WAKE · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 22.5 · Avg 36.8 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +517U -500
WR
Carlos Hernandez
WAKE · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 89.5 · Avg 120.0 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 3/5
O +109U -108
WR
Da'Shawn Martin
UVA · 2 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 40.5 · Avg 31.7 · L5 1/5
O -125U -125
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 4/5
O +263U -256
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.