Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
NU
45%
+122
ORE
55%
-122
Model expected score: NU 28.7 – ORE 31.1
Defensive Matchup Ratings
NU defensefaces ORE
vs QB
#90
#90 224.3 yds/gm
vs RB
#100
#100 161.5 yds/gm
vs WR
#90
#90 224.3 yds/gm
vs TE
#90
#90 224.3 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
ORE defensefaces NU
vs QB
#102
#102 231.3 yds/gm
vs RB
#37
#37 113.0 yds/gm
vs WR
#102
#102 231.3 yds/gm
vs TE
#102
#102 231.3 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
Northwestern Wildcats
TETom McGlincheyUndisclosedOUT
CBJosh FussellUndisclosedOUT
WRChase FarrellUndisclosedQUES
WRJaden McDuffieUndisclosedQUES
TEChris PetrucciUndisclosedQUES
TELuke DehnickeUndisclosedQUES
CBB. TurnerUndisclosedQUES
Oregon Ducks
WRIverson HooksUndisclosedOUT
WRJeremiah McClellanFootOUT
CBAaron FlowersUndisclosedOUT
RBSimeon PriceUndisclosedQUES
WRDillon GreshamNeckQUES
WREvan StewartUndisclosedQUES
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Aidan Chiles
NU · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 209.5 · Avg 234.4 · L5 4/5
O +100U -138
Rush Yds
Line 20 · Avg 14.6 · L5 2/5
O -U -
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.2 · L5 5/5
O +139U -137
QB
Dylan Raiola
ORE · 2 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 222.5 · Avg 128.8 · L5 1/4
O -123U -126
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/4
O +377U -370
RB
Caleb Komolafe
NU · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 59.5 · Avg 66.8 · L5 1/5
O -115U -115
Rec Yds
Line 9 · Avg 20.2 · L5 3/4
O -U -
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 1.8 · L5 2/4
O -110U -120
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 3/5
O +124U -123
RB
Dierre Hill Jr.
ORE · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 59.5 · Avg 49.2 · L5 3/5
O +100U +100
Rec Yds
Line 15.5 · Avg 33.0 · L5 2/5
O -U -
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 2.8 · L5 3/5
O +125U -170
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/5
O -137U +138
RB
Jordon Davison
ORE · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 55.5 · Avg 55.0 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.0 · L5 4/5
O +135U -133
RB
Gavin Sawchuk
NU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100U -
RB
Joseph Himon II
NU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 1.2 · L5 3/5
O +391U -385
RB
Brandon Smith
ORE · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 1/2
O +100U -
RB
Robby Preckel
NU · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/2
O +100U -
WR
Evan Stewart
ORE · 3 props
QUES
+
Rec Yds
Line 51.5 · Avg 70.4 · L5 5/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 4.5 · Avg 5.4 · L5 3/5
O -110U -125
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.8 · L5 4/5
O +205U -204
WR
Hayden Eligon II
NU · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 18.5 · Avg 12.0 · L5 0/2
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 1.0 · L5 0/2
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/2
O +681U -667
WR
Dakorien Moore
ORE · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 50.5 · Avg 57.8 · L5 2/5
O -115U -115
Receptions
Line 4.5 · Avg 4.2 · L5 1/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 3/5
O +194U -192
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.