Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
CSU
46%
+117
USU
54%
-117
Model expected score: CSU 29.6 – USU 31.4
Defensive Matchup Ratings
CSU defensefaces USU
vs QB
#127
#127 264.6 yds/gm
vs RB
#134
#134 228.6 yds/gm
vs WR
#127
#127 264.6 yds/gm
vs TE
#127
#127 264.6 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
USU defensefaces CSU
vs QB
#83
#83 218.8 yds/gm
vs RB
#67
#67 140.8 yds/gm
vs WR
#83
#83 218.8 yds/gm
vs TE
#83
#83 218.8 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
Colorado State Rams
QBHauss HejnyHamstringQUES
WRR. VickUndisclosedQUES
WRTroy FosterUndisclosedQUES
TEGrant HouserUndisclosedQUES
Utah State Aggies
WRNikko BoncoreUndisclosedOUT
TEJ. NelsonUndisclosedOUT
QBMcCae HillsteadUndisclosedQUES
RBN. WashingtonUndisclosedQUES
RBS. VailahiUndisclosedQUES
WRAnthony GarciaUndisclosedQUES
WRRex HaynesUndisclosedQUES
TEC. RemenowskyUndisclosedQUES
TEKache KaioUndisclosedQUES
Player Board
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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff. Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.