Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
ORST
57%
-133
FRES
43%
+133
Model expected score: ORST 30.9 – FRES 27.6
Defensive Matchup Ratings
ORST defensefaces FRES
vs QB
#72
#72 210.4 yds/gm
vs RB
#87
#87 151.8 yds/gm
vs WR
#72
#72 210.4 yds/gm
vs TE
#72
#72 210.4 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
FRES defensefaces ORST
vs QB
#78
#78 215.4 yds/gm
vs RB
#73
#73 143.4 yds/gm
vs WR
#78
#78 215.4 yds/gm
vs TE
#78
#78 215.4 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
Oregon State Beavers
No injuries reported
Fresno State Bulldogs
RBBrandon RamirezUndisclosedOUT
RBRayshon LukeConcussionQUES
WRHarold DuvallUndisclosedQUES
Player Board
Tap a player to expand
QB
Jayden Mandal
FRES · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 235.5 · Avg 199.0 · L5 1/5
O -125U -125
Rush Yds
Line 13.5 · Avg 17.0 · L5 4/5
O +102U -101
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 1/5
O +236U -233
QB
Braden Atkinson
ORST · 3 props
+
Pass Yds
Line 312.5 · Avg 376.2 · L5 4/5
O +100U +100
Rush Yds
Line 3.5 · Avg -2.5 · L5 3/5
O +104U -103
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/5
O +245U -244
RB
Rayshon Luke
FRES · 4 props
QUES
+
Rush Yds
Line 46.5 · Avg 55.5 · L5 3/5
O +101U +100
Rec Yds
Line 13.5 · Avg 17.2 · L5 2/5
O -114U -114
Receptions
Line 1.5 · Avg 2.8 · L5 4/5
O -108U +109
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.3 · L5 2/5
O +130U -128
RB
AJ Newberry
ORST · 4 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 49.5 · Avg 54.3 · L5 3/5
O +100U -130
Rec Yds
Line 24.5 · Avg 28.0 · L5 3/5
O +100U -
Receptions
Line 3.5 · Avg 3.2 · L5 3/5
O +124U -166
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 2/5
O -161U +162
RB
Cornell Hatcher Jr.
ORST · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 24.5 · Avg 24.8 · L5 3/5
O -115U -115
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.5 · L5 3/5
O +179U -175
RB
Bryson Donelson
FRES · 2 props
+
Rush Yds
Line 39.5 · Avg 42.7 · L5 2/5
O -114U -114
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.7 · L5 2/5
O +100U -
RB
Jake Reichle
ORST · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +100U -357
RB
Julius Gillick
FRES · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.6 · L5 3/5
O +100U -233
RB
Tre Garrison
ORST · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100U -
RB
Andrew Chavez
FRES · 1 props
+
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.0 · L5 0/5
O +100U -
WR
Jahlil McClain
FRES · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 29.5 · Avg 34.0 · L5 4/5
O +103U -102
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 3.2 · L5 4/5
O -105U -150
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.2 · L5 1/5
O +459U -455
WR
Aaron Butler
ORST · 3 props
+
Rec Yds
Line 33.5 · Avg 38.0 · L5 4/5
O -U -
Receptions
Line 2.5 · Avg 2.6 · L5 3/5
O -160U +100
Anytime TD
Line Yes · Avg 0.4 · L5 2/5
O +308U -303
Hit rates are last-5 games vs the listed line. Lines move - check your book. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.