Model: 1,000,000 simulated games from team scoring efficiency (offensive PPG vs opponent points allowed, +2.5 home field). Simplified efficiency model.
UAB
35%
+186
USF
65%
-186
Model expected score: UAB 20.3 – USF 27.9
Defensive Matchup Ratings
UAB defensefaces USF
vs QB
#2
#2 118.4 yds/gm
vs RB
#117
#117 183.0 yds/gm
vs WR
#2
#2 118.4 yds/gm
vs TE
#2
#2 118.4 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
USF defensefaces UAB
vs QB
#38
#38 183.7 yds/gm
vs RB
#94
#94 157.7 yds/gm
vs WR
#38
#38 183.7 yds/gm
vs TE
#38
#38 183.7 yds/gm
Ranks of 138 FBS teams · #1 = toughest · red = tough, green = soft
🏥 Injury Reportvia Covers · updated through the week
UAB Blazers
No injuries reported
South Florida Bulls
WRArhmad BranchUndisclosedQUES
WRJaden AlexisUndisclosedQUES
Player Board
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Prop lines for this game typically populate 1-3 days before kickoff. Check back Thursday or Friday for the full prop board with edges, hit rates, and game logs.
How to read edges: the % is the model's probability for the side it favors - green = over, red = under. Stars = model confidence (Kelly-based), not a betting recommendation. Max 1.5u - bet responsibly.